Granite Falls Energy Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 3,001

GFGY Stock  USD 3,000  0.00  0.00%   
Granite Falls' future price is the expected price of Granite Falls instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Granite Falls Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Granite Falls Backtesting, Granite Falls Valuation, Granite Falls Correlation, Granite Falls Hype Analysis, Granite Falls Volatility, Granite Falls History as well as Granite Falls Performance.
  
Please specify Granite Falls' target price for which you would like Granite Falls odds to be computed.

Granite Falls Target Price Odds to finish over 3,001

The tendency of Granite Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3,000 90 days 3,000 
about 29.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Granite Falls to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 29.52 (This Granite Falls Energy probability density function shows the probability of Granite Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Granite Falls has a beta of 0.1. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Granite Falls average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Granite Falls Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Granite Falls Energy has an alpha of 0.0293, implying that it can generate a 0.0293 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Granite Falls Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Granite Falls

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Granite Falls Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,0003,0003,000
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,9752,9753,300
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,9812,9812,982
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,0003,0003,000
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Granite Falls. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Granite Falls' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Granite Falls' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Granite Falls Energy.

Granite Falls Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Granite Falls is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Granite Falls' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Granite Falls Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Granite Falls within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
42.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Granite Falls Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Granite Falls for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Granite Falls Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Granite Falls Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Granite Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Granite Falls' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Granite Falls' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding30.6 K
Cash And Short Term Investments29.3 M

Granite Falls Technical Analysis

Granite Falls' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Granite Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Granite Falls Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Granite Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Granite Falls Predictive Forecast Models

Granite Falls' time-series forecasting models is one of many Granite Falls' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Granite Falls' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Granite Falls Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Granite Falls for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Granite Falls Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Granite Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Granite Falls' price analysis, check to measure Granite Falls' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Granite Falls is operating at the current time. Most of Granite Falls' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Granite Falls' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Granite Falls' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Granite Falls to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.