Guideline Geo (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.43

GGEO Stock  SEK 7.88  0.08  1.01%   
Guideline Geo's future price is the expected price of Guideline Geo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Guideline Geo AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Guideline Geo Backtesting, Guideline Geo Valuation, Guideline Geo Correlation, Guideline Geo Hype Analysis, Guideline Geo Volatility, Guideline Geo History as well as Guideline Geo Performance.
  
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Guideline Geo Target Price Odds to finish over 10.43

The tendency of Guideline Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 10.43  or more in 90 days
 7.88 90 days 10.43 
about 9.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guideline Geo to move over kr 10.43  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.12 (This Guideline Geo AB probability density function shows the probability of Guideline Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guideline Geo AB price to stay between its current price of kr 7.88  and kr 10.43  at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Guideline Geo has a beta of 0.23. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Guideline Geo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Guideline Geo AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Guideline Geo AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Guideline Geo Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Guideline Geo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guideline Geo AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.327.8810.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.657.219.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.468.0210.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.777.887.99
Details

Guideline Geo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guideline Geo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guideline Geo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guideline Geo AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guideline Geo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.56
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.99
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Guideline Geo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guideline Geo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guideline Geo AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guideline Geo AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Guideline Geo AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 141.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 89.83 M.
Guideline Geo AB has accumulated about 30.21 M in cash with (3.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.8.
Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Guideline Geo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guideline Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guideline Geo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guideline Geo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.2 M

Guideline Geo Technical Analysis

Guideline Geo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guideline Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guideline Geo AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guideline Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Guideline Geo Predictive Forecast Models

Guideline Geo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guideline Geo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guideline Geo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Guideline Geo AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guideline Geo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guideline Geo AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guideline Geo AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Guideline Geo AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 141.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 89.83 M.
Guideline Geo AB has accumulated about 30.21 M in cash with (3.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.8.
Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Guideline Stock Analysis

When running Guideline Geo's price analysis, check to measure Guideline Geo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guideline Geo is operating at the current time. Most of Guideline Geo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guideline Geo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guideline Geo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guideline Geo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.