Guidestone Fds Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 30.89

GGEYX Fund  USD 30.89  0.25  0.82%   
Guidestone Fds' future price is the expected price of Guidestone Fds instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Guidestone Fds Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Guidestone Fds Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Guidestone Fds Correlation, Guidestone Fds Hype Analysis, Guidestone Fds Volatility, Guidestone Fds History as well as Guidestone Fds Performance.
  
Please specify Guidestone Fds' target price for which you would like Guidestone Fds odds to be computed.

Guidestone Fds Target Price Odds to finish below 30.89

The tendency of Guidestone Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 30.89 90 days 30.89 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guidestone Fds to move below current price in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Guidestone Fds Growth probability density function shows the probability of Guidestone Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guidestone Fds has a beta of 0.83. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Guidestone Fds average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Guidestone Fds Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Guidestone Fds Growth has an alpha of 0.0426, implying that it can generate a 0.0426 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Guidestone Fds Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Guidestone Fds

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guidestone Fds Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guidestone Fds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.9530.8931.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.0427.9833.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.7130.6531.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.1330.5831.04
Details

Guidestone Fds Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guidestone Fds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guidestone Fds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guidestone Fds Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guidestone Fds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.83
σ
Overall volatility
1.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Guidestone Fds Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guidestone Fds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guidestone Fds Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Trump and Allies Plot Cuts to Medicaid, Food Stamps to Fund Tax Cuts for Wealthy - Truthout
The fund retains about 5.43% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Guidestone Fds Technical Analysis

Guidestone Fds' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guidestone Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guidestone Fds Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guidestone Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Guidestone Fds Predictive Forecast Models

Guidestone Fds' time-series forecasting models is one of many Guidestone Fds' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guidestone Fds' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Guidestone Fds Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guidestone Fds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guidestone Fds Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Trump and Allies Plot Cuts to Medicaid, Food Stamps to Fund Tax Cuts for Wealthy - Truthout
The fund retains about 5.43% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Guidestone Mutual Fund

Guidestone Fds financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guidestone Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guidestone with respect to the benefits of owning Guidestone Fds security.
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