Deutsche Gnma Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.73

GGGGX Fund  USD 11.67  0.01  0.09%   
Deutsche Gnma's future price is the expected price of Deutsche Gnma instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Deutsche Gnma Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Deutsche Gnma Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Deutsche Gnma Correlation, Deutsche Gnma Hype Analysis, Deutsche Gnma Volatility, Deutsche Gnma History as well as Deutsche Gnma Performance.
  
Please specify Deutsche Gnma's target price for which you would like Deutsche Gnma odds to be computed.

Deutsche Gnma Target Price Odds to finish over 11.73

The tendency of Deutsche Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 11.73  or more in 90 days
 11.67 90 days 11.73 
about 52.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deutsche Gnma to move over $ 11.73  or more in 90 days from now is about 52.49 (This Deutsche Gnma Fund probability density function shows the probability of Deutsche Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Deutsche Gnma price to stay between its current price of $ 11.67  and $ 11.73  at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.42 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Deutsche Gnma has a beta of 0.0401. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Deutsche Gnma average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Deutsche Gnma Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Deutsche Gnma Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Deutsche Gnma Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Deutsche Gnma

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deutsche Gnma. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5012.2412.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4311.7712.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.3611.7012.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.4211.7111.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Deutsche Gnma. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Deutsche Gnma's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Deutsche Gnma's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Deutsche Gnma.

Deutsche Gnma Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deutsche Gnma is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deutsche Gnma's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deutsche Gnma Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deutsche Gnma within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.43

Deutsche Gnma Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deutsche Gnma for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deutsche Gnma can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Deutsche Gnma generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is PTTRX a Strong Bond Fund Right Now - Yahoo Finance
Deutsche Gnma generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund retains about 14.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Deutsche Gnma Technical Analysis

Deutsche Gnma's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deutsche Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deutsche Gnma Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deutsche Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Deutsche Gnma Predictive Forecast Models

Deutsche Gnma's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deutsche Gnma's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deutsche Gnma's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Deutsche Gnma

Checking the ongoing alerts about Deutsche Gnma for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deutsche Gnma help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Deutsche Gnma generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is PTTRX a Strong Bond Fund Right Now - Yahoo Finance
Deutsche Gnma generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund retains about 14.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Mutual Fund

Deutsche Gnma financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche Gnma security.
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