Golden Goliath Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.075

GGTHF Stock  USD 0.06  0.03  100.00%   
Golden Goliath's future price is the expected price of Golden Goliath instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Golden Goliath Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Golden Goliath Backtesting, Golden Goliath Valuation, Golden Goliath Correlation, Golden Goliath Hype Analysis, Golden Goliath Volatility, Golden Goliath History as well as Golden Goliath Performance.
  
Please specify Golden Goliath's target price for which you would like Golden Goliath odds to be computed.

Golden Goliath Target Price Odds to finish over 0.075

The tendency of Golden Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 0.07  or more in 90 days
 0.06 90 days 0.07 
about 41.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Golden Goliath to move over $ 0.07  or more in 90 days from now is about 41.74 (This Golden Goliath Resources probability density function shows the probability of Golden Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Golden Goliath Resources price to stay between its current price of $ 0.06  and $ 0.07  at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.6 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Golden Goliath Resources has a beta of -18.83. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Golden Goliath Resources are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Golden Goliath is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Golden Goliath Resources has an alpha of 18.9237, implying that it can generate a 18.92 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Golden Goliath Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Golden Goliath

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Goliath Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0653.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0553.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.0686.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.050.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Golden Goliath. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Golden Goliath's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Golden Goliath's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Golden Goliath Resources.

Golden Goliath Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Golden Goliath is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Golden Goliath's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Golden Goliath Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Golden Goliath within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
18.92
β
Beta against Dow Jones-18.83
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

Golden Goliath Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Golden Goliath for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Golden Goliath Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Golden Goliath is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Golden Goliath has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Golden Goliath appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Golden Goliath has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (596.59 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Golden Goliath Resources has accumulated about 1.13 M in cash with (268.95 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.

Golden Goliath Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Golden Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Golden Goliath's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Golden Goliath's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding151.1 M

Golden Goliath Technical Analysis

Golden Goliath's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Golden Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Golden Goliath Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Golden Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Golden Goliath Predictive Forecast Models

Golden Goliath's time-series forecasting models is one of many Golden Goliath's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Golden Goliath's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Golden Goliath Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Golden Goliath for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Golden Goliath Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Golden Goliath is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Golden Goliath has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Golden Goliath appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Golden Goliath has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (596.59 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Golden Goliath Resources has accumulated about 1.13 M in cash with (268.95 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.

Other Information on Investing in Golden Pink Sheet

Golden Goliath financial ratios help investors to determine whether Golden Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Golden with respect to the benefits of owning Golden Goliath security.