Global Hard Assets Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 43.17

GHAIX Fund  USD 43.17  0.07  0.16%   
Global Hard's future price is the expected price of Global Hard instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global Hard Assets performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global Hard Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Global Hard Correlation, Global Hard Hype Analysis, Global Hard Volatility, Global Hard History as well as Global Hard Performance.
  
Please specify Global Hard's target price for which you would like Global Hard odds to be computed.

Global Hard Target Price Odds to finish over 43.17

The tendency of Global Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 43.17 90 days 43.17 
about 31.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Hard to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 31.07 (This Global Hard Assets probability density function shows the probability of Global Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Global Hard has a beta of 0.67. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Global Hard average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Global Hard Assets will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Global Hard Assets has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Global Hard Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Hard

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Hard Assets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.2443.1744.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.0142.9443.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.9842.9143.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
42.6643.0143.36
Details

Global Hard Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Hard is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Hard's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Hard Assets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Hard within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.67
σ
Overall volatility
0.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Global Hard Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Hard for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Hard Assets can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Hard Assets generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: VanEck Celebrates 30th Anniversary of Global Resources Fund - Business Wire
The fund generated-5.0 ten year return of -5.0%
Global Hard Assets retains 96.4% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Global Hard Technical Analysis

Global Hard's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Hard Assets. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global Hard Predictive Forecast Models

Global Hard's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Hard's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Hard's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Global Hard Assets

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Hard for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Hard Assets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Hard Assets generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: VanEck Celebrates 30th Anniversary of Global Resources Fund - Business Wire
The fund generated-5.0 ten year return of -5.0%
Global Hard Assets retains 96.4% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Global Mutual Fund

Global Hard financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Hard security.
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