Grand Havana Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 7.0E-4

GHAV Stock  USD 0.0007  0.0001  16.67%   
Grand Havana's future price is the expected price of Grand Havana instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Grand Havana performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Grand Havana Backtesting, Grand Havana Valuation, Grand Havana Correlation, Grand Havana Hype Analysis, Grand Havana Volatility, Grand Havana History as well as Grand Havana Performance.
  
Please specify Grand Havana's target price for which you would like Grand Havana odds to be computed.

Grand Havana Target Price Odds to finish over 7.0E-4

The tendency of Grand Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.0007 90 days 0.0007 
about 63.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grand Havana to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 63.99 (This Grand Havana probability density function shows the probability of Grand Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Grand Havana has a beta of -1.23. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Grand Havana are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Grand Havana is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Grand Havana has an alpha of 0.177, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Grand Havana Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Grand Havana

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grand Havana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000810.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000710.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000130.000610.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00070.00070.0007
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Grand Havana. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Grand Havana's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Grand Havana's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Grand Havana.

Grand Havana Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grand Havana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grand Havana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grand Havana, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grand Havana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.0001
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Grand Havana Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grand Havana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grand Havana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grand Havana generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Grand Havana has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Grand Havana has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Grand Havana has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Grand Havana currently holds 2.01 M in liabilities. Grand Havana has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Grand Havana until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Grand Havana's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Grand Havana sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Grand to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Grand Havana's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 204.3 K. Net Loss for the year was (8.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 80.06 K.
Grand Havana currently holds about 263.22 K in cash with (467.94 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Grand Havana Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grand Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grand Havana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grand Havana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments30.2 K

Grand Havana Technical Analysis

Grand Havana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grand Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grand Havana. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grand Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Grand Havana Predictive Forecast Models

Grand Havana's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grand Havana's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grand Havana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Grand Havana

Checking the ongoing alerts about Grand Havana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grand Havana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grand Havana generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Grand Havana has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Grand Havana has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Grand Havana has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Grand Havana currently holds 2.01 M in liabilities. Grand Havana has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Grand Havana until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Grand Havana's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Grand Havana sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Grand to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Grand Havana's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 204.3 K. Net Loss for the year was (8.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 80.06 K.
Grand Havana currently holds about 263.22 K in cash with (467.94 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Grand Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Grand Havana's price analysis, check to measure Grand Havana's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grand Havana is operating at the current time. Most of Grand Havana's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grand Havana's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grand Havana's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grand Havana to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.