Guardion Health Sciences Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 3.13
| GHSIDelisted Stock | USD 3.29 0.04 1.23% |
Guardion |
Guardion Health Target Price Odds to finish over 3.13
The tendency of Guardion Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 3.13 in 90 days |
| 3.29 | 90 days | 3.13 | about 77.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guardion Health to stay above $ 3.13 in 90 days from now is about 77.62 (This Guardion Health Sciences probability density function shows the probability of Guardion Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guardion Health Sciences price to stay between $ 3.13 and its current price of $3.29 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.67 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Guardion Health Sciences has a beta of -0.1. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Guardion Health are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Guardion Health Sciences is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Guardion Health Sciences has an alpha of 0.6833, implying that it can generate a 0.68 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Guardion Health Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guardion Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guardion Health Sciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guardion Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guardion Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guardion Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guardion Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guardion Health Sciences, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guardion Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Guardion Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guardion Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guardion Health Sciences can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guardion Health is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Guardion Health had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Guardion Health has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Guardion Health Sciences currently holds about 14.23 M in cash with (4.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.23. |
Guardion Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guardion Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guardion Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guardion Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.4 M |
Guardion Health Technical Analysis
Guardion Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guardion Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guardion Health Sciences. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guardion Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guardion Health Predictive Forecast Models
Guardion Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guardion Health's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guardion Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Guardion Health Sciences
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guardion Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guardion Health Sciences help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Guardion Health is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Guardion Health had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Guardion Health has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Guardion Health Sciences currently holds about 14.23 M in cash with (4.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.23. |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Other Consideration for investing in Guardion Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Guardion Health Sciences check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Guardion Health's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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