G III (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.0
| GI4 Stock | EUR 33.20 0.20 0.61% |
GI4 |
G III Target Price Odds to finish below 16.0
The tendency of GI4 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 16.00 or more in 90 days |
| 33.20 | 90 days | 16.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of G III to drop to € 16.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This G III APPAREL GROUP probability density function shows the probability of GI4 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of G III APPAREL price to stay between € 16.00 and its current price of €33.2 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon G III has a beta of 0.88. This usually indicates G III APPAREL GROUP market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, G III is expected to follow. Additionally G III APPAREL GROUP has an alpha of 0.1981, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). G III Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for G III
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as G III APPAREL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.G III Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. G III is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the G III's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold G III APPAREL GROUP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of G III within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
G III Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GI4 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential G III's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. G III's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.9 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 4.2 M |
G III Technical Analysis
G III's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GI4 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of G III APPAREL GROUP. In general, you should focus on analyzing GI4 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
G III Predictive Forecast Models
G III's time-series forecasting models is one of many G III's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary G III's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards G III in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, G III's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from G III options trading.
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in GI4 Stock
When determining whether G III APPAREL offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of G III's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of G Iii Apparel Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on G Iii Apparel Group Stock:Check out G III Backtesting, G III Valuation, G III Correlation, G III Hype Analysis, G III Volatility, G III History as well as G III Performance. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.