G III (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 28.85

GI4 Stock  EUR 29.40  0.60  2.08%   
G III's future price is the expected price of G III instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of G III APPAREL GROUP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out G III Backtesting, G III Valuation, G III Correlation, G III Hype Analysis, G III Volatility, G III History as well as G III Performance.
  
Please specify G III's target price for which you would like G III odds to be computed.

G III Target Price Odds to finish over 28.85

The tendency of GI4 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 28.85  in 90 days
 29.40 90 days 28.85 
about 23.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of G III to stay above € 28.85  in 90 days from now is about 23.7 (This G III APPAREL GROUP probability density function shows the probability of GI4 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of G III APPAREL price to stay between € 28.85  and its current price of €29.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.23 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon G III has a beta of 0.056. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, G III average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding G III APPAREL GROUP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally G III APPAREL GROUP has an alpha of 0.3814, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   G III Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for G III

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as G III APPAREL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.5829.4033.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.0327.8531.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.8030.6234.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.1028.4329.75
Details

G III Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. G III is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the G III's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold G III APPAREL GROUP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of G III within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

G III Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of G III for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for G III APPAREL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
G III APPAREL had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

G III Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GI4 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential G III's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. G III's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.9 M
Short Long Term Debt4.2 M

G III Technical Analysis

G III's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GI4 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of G III APPAREL GROUP. In general, you should focus on analyzing GI4 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

G III Predictive Forecast Models

G III's time-series forecasting models is one of many G III's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary G III's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about G III APPAREL

Checking the ongoing alerts about G III for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for G III APPAREL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
G III APPAREL had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in GI4 Stock

When determining whether G III APPAREL offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of G III's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of G Iii Apparel Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on G Iii Apparel Group Stock:
Check out G III Backtesting, G III Valuation, G III Correlation, G III Hype Analysis, G III Volatility, G III History as well as G III Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Please note, there is a significant difference between G III's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if G III is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, G III's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.