Global Industrial Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 33.02

GIC Stock  USD 27.96  0.03  0.11%   
Global Industrial's future price is the expected price of Global Industrial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global Industrial Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global Industrial Backtesting, Global Industrial Valuation, Global Industrial Correlation, Global Industrial Hype Analysis, Global Industrial Volatility, Global Industrial History as well as Global Industrial Performance.
  
At present, Global Industrial's Price Book Value Ratio is projected to slightly grow based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 13.87, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 12.13. Please specify Global Industrial's target price for which you would like Global Industrial odds to be computed.

Global Industrial Target Price Odds to finish over 33.02

The tendency of Global Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 33.02  or more in 90 days
 27.96 90 days 33.02 
about 25.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Industrial to move over $ 33.02  or more in 90 days from now is about 25.72 (This Global Industrial Co probability density function shows the probability of Global Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global Industrial price to stay between its current price of $ 27.96  and $ 33.02  at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.77 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.01 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Global Industrial will likely underperform. Additionally Global Industrial Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Global Industrial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.9428.1231.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.1636.1039.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.0129.1932.37
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
39.1343.0047.73
Details

Global Industrial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Industrial Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.01
σ
Overall volatility
2.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Global Industrial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Global Industrial has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Global Industrial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Global Industrial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 18th of November 2024 Global Industrial paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: ADIA, GIC Said Nearing Pye-Barker Fire Safety Minority Stake

Global Industrial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments34.4 M

Global Industrial Technical Analysis

Global Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Industrial Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global Industrial Predictive Forecast Models

Global Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Global Industrial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Global Industrial has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Global Industrial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Global Industrial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 18th of November 2024 Global Industrial paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: ADIA, GIC Said Nearing Pye-Barker Fire Safety Minority Stake
When determining whether Global Industrial offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Global Industrial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Global Industrial Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Global Industrial Co Stock:
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global Industrial. If investors know Global will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Global Industrial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.19)
Dividend Share
0.95
Earnings Share
1.7
Revenue Per Share
34.936
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of Global Industrial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Global that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Global Industrial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Global Industrial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Global Industrial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Global Industrial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Industrial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Industrial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Industrial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.