Gulf Investment (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.52

GIF Stock   2.26  0.00  0.00%   
Gulf Investment's future price is the expected price of Gulf Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gulf Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
  
Please specify Gulf Investment's target price for which you would like Gulf Investment odds to be computed.

Gulf Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 2.52

The tendency of Gulf Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  2.52  after 90 days
 2.26 90 days 2.52 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gulf Investment to stay under  2.52  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Gulf Investment probability density function shows the probability of Gulf Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gulf Investment price to stay between its current price of  2.26  and  2.52  at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gulf Investment has a beta of -0.0087. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gulf Investment are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gulf Investment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gulf Investment has an alpha of 0.0453, implying that it can generate a 0.0453 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gulf Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gulf Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gulf Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.772.263.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.401.893.38
Details

Gulf Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gulf Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gulf Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gulf Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gulf Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0087
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Gulf Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gulf Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gulf Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gulf Investment is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Gulf Investment is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Gulf Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gulf Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gulf Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gulf Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding40.4 M
Dividends Paid3.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments744 K

Gulf Investment Technical Analysis

Gulf Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gulf Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gulf Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gulf Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gulf Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Gulf Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gulf Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gulf Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gulf Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gulf Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gulf Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gulf Investment is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Gulf Investment is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Gulf Stock

Gulf Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gulf Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gulf with respect to the benefits of owning Gulf Investment security.