Gigas Hosting (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.64

GIGA Stock  EUR 8.00  0.05  0.63%   
Gigas Hosting's future price is the expected price of Gigas Hosting instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gigas Hosting SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gigas Hosting Backtesting, Gigas Hosting Valuation, Gigas Hosting Correlation, Gigas Hosting Hype Analysis, Gigas Hosting Volatility, Gigas Hosting History as well as Gigas Hosting Performance.
  
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Gigas Hosting Target Price Odds to finish over 7.64

The tendency of Gigas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 7.64  in 90 days
 8.00 90 days 7.64 
about 44.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gigas Hosting to stay above € 7.64  in 90 days from now is about 44.54 (This Gigas Hosting SA probability density function shows the probability of Gigas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gigas Hosting SA price to stay between € 7.64  and its current price of €8.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gigas Hosting has a beta of 0.6. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gigas Hosting average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gigas Hosting SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gigas Hosting SA has an alpha of 0.1414, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gigas Hosting Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gigas Hosting

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gigas Hosting SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.898.0010.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.737.849.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.278.3710.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.667.827.98
Details

Gigas Hosting Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gigas Hosting is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gigas Hosting's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gigas Hosting SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gigas Hosting within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.60
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Gigas Hosting Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gigas Hosting for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gigas Hosting SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gigas Hosting SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 52.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.06 M.
About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Gigas Hosting Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gigas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gigas Hosting's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gigas Hosting's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.6 M

Gigas Hosting Technical Analysis

Gigas Hosting's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gigas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gigas Hosting SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gigas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gigas Hosting Predictive Forecast Models

Gigas Hosting's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gigas Hosting's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gigas Hosting's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gigas Hosting SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gigas Hosting for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gigas Hosting SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gigas Hosting SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 52.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.06 M.
About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Gigas Stock

Gigas Hosting financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gigas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gigas with respect to the benefits of owning Gigas Hosting security.