Giga Tronics Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0078

GIGA Stock  USD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
Giga Tronics' future price is the expected price of Giga Tronics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Giga tronics performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Giga Tronics Backtesting, Giga Tronics Valuation, Giga Tronics Correlation, Giga Tronics Hype Analysis, Giga Tronics Volatility, Giga Tronics History as well as Giga Tronics Performance.
  
Please specify Giga Tronics' target price for which you would like Giga Tronics odds to be computed.

Giga Tronics Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0078

The tendency of Giga Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
about 17.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Giga Tronics to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 17.33 (This Giga tronics probability density function shows the probability of Giga Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Giga tronics has a beta of -0.35. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Giga Tronics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Giga tronics is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Giga tronics has an alpha of 0.0943, implying that it can generate a 0.0943 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Giga Tronics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Giga Tronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Giga tronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0123.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0123.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00020.0123.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Giga Tronics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Giga Tronics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Giga Tronics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Giga tronics.

Giga Tronics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Giga Tronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Giga Tronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Giga tronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Giga Tronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.0029

Giga Tronics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Giga Tronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Giga tronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Giga tronics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Giga tronics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Giga tronics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Giga tronics was previously known as Stragenics and was traded on PINK Exchange under the symbol ASAB.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 9.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.35 M.
Giga tronics currently holds about 400 K in cash with (3.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Giga Tronics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Giga Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Giga Tronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Giga Tronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.8 M

Giga Tronics Technical Analysis

Giga Tronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Giga Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Giga tronics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Giga Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Giga Tronics Predictive Forecast Models

Giga Tronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Giga Tronics' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Giga Tronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Giga tronics

Checking the ongoing alerts about Giga Tronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Giga tronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Giga tronics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Giga tronics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Giga tronics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Giga tronics was previously known as Stragenics and was traded on PINK Exchange under the symbol ASAB.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 9.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.35 M.
Giga tronics currently holds about 400 K in cash with (3.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Giga Pink Sheet

Giga Tronics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Giga Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Giga with respect to the benefits of owning Giga Tronics security.