GIVOT OLAM (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.2
GIVO-L Stock | 20.60 0.40 1.90% |
GIVOT |
GIVOT OLAM Target Price Odds to finish below 21.2
The tendency of GIVOT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 21.20 after 90 days |
20.60 | 90 days | 21.20 | about 5.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GIVOT OLAM to stay under 21.20 after 90 days from now is about 5.35 (This GIVOT OLAM OIL probability density function shows the probability of GIVOT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GIVOT OLAM OIL price to stay between its current price of 20.60 and 21.20 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.09 . This usually indicates GIVOT OLAM OIL market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, GIVOT OLAM is expected to follow. Additionally GIVOT OLAM OIL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. GIVOT OLAM Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for GIVOT OLAM
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GIVOT OLAM OIL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GIVOT OLAM Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GIVOT OLAM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GIVOT OLAM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GIVOT OLAM OIL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GIVOT OLAM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
GIVOT OLAM Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GIVOT OLAM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GIVOT OLAM OIL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.GIVOT OLAM OIL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
GIVOT OLAM OIL has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
GIVOT OLAM OIL has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
GIVOT OLAM OIL has accumulated 5.36 M in total debt. GIVOT OLAM OIL has a current ratio of 0.15, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist GIVOT OLAM until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GIVOT OLAM's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GIVOT OLAM OIL sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GIVOT to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GIVOT OLAM's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Net Loss for the year was (24.85 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (418 K). | |
GIVOT OLAM OIL has accumulated about 272 K in cash with (18.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
GIVOT OLAM Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GIVOT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GIVOT OLAM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GIVOT OLAM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 215.6 M | |
Short Long Term Debt | 4.1 M | |
Shares Float | 141.2 M |
GIVOT OLAM Technical Analysis
GIVOT OLAM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GIVOT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GIVOT OLAM OIL. In general, you should focus on analyzing GIVOT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GIVOT OLAM Predictive Forecast Models
GIVOT OLAM's time-series forecasting models is one of many GIVOT OLAM's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GIVOT OLAM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GIVOT OLAM OIL
Checking the ongoing alerts about GIVOT OLAM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GIVOT OLAM OIL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GIVOT OLAM OIL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
GIVOT OLAM OIL has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
GIVOT OLAM OIL has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
GIVOT OLAM OIL has accumulated 5.36 M in total debt. GIVOT OLAM OIL has a current ratio of 0.15, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist GIVOT OLAM until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GIVOT OLAM's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GIVOT OLAM OIL sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GIVOT to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GIVOT OLAM's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Net Loss for the year was (24.85 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (418 K). | |
GIVOT OLAM OIL has accumulated about 272 K in cash with (18.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in GIVOT Stock
GIVOT OLAM financial ratios help investors to determine whether GIVOT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GIVOT with respect to the benefits of owning GIVOT OLAM security.