Strats Sm Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.71

GJR Stock  USD 24.90  0.05  0.20%   
Strats SM's future price is the expected price of Strats SM instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Strats SM Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Strats SM Backtesting, Strats SM Valuation, Strats SM Correlation, Strats SM Hype Analysis, Strats SM Volatility, Strats SM History as well as Strats SM Performance.
  
Please specify Strats SM's target price for which you would like Strats SM odds to be computed.

Strats SM Target Price Odds to finish below 20.71

The tendency of Strats Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 20.71  or more in 90 days
 24.90 90 days 20.71 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Strats SM to drop to $ 20.71  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Strats SM Trust probability density function shows the probability of Strats Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Strats SM Trust price to stay between $ 20.71  and its current price of $24.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.46 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Strats SM has a beta of 0.0182. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Strats SM average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Strats SM Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Strats SM Trust has an alpha of 0.0056, implying that it can generate a 0.005636 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Strats SM Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Strats SM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Strats SM Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.4124.9025.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.4020.8927.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.3524.8325.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.8424.9425.05
Details

Strats SM Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Strats SM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Strats SM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Strats SM Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Strats SM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Strats SM Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Strats SM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Strats SM Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 15th of November 2024 Strats SM paid $ 0.113 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Strats SM Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Strats Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Strats SM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Strats SM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0306

Strats SM Technical Analysis

Strats SM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Strats Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Strats SM Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Strats Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Strats SM Predictive Forecast Models

Strats SM's time-series forecasting models is one of many Strats SM's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Strats SM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Strats SM Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about Strats SM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Strats SM Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 15th of November 2024 Strats SM paid $ 0.113 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Additional Tools for Strats Stock Analysis

When running Strats SM's price analysis, check to measure Strats SM's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Strats SM is operating at the current time. Most of Strats SM's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Strats SM's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Strats SM's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Strats SM to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.