KTAM Gold (Thailand) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 3.49

GLD Etf  THB 3.63  0.05  1.36%   
KTAM Gold's future price is the expected price of KTAM Gold instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KTAM Gold ETF performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KTAM Gold Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, KTAM Gold Correlation, KTAM Gold Hype Analysis, KTAM Gold Volatility, KTAM Gold History as well as KTAM Gold Performance.
  
Please specify KTAM Gold's target price for which you would like KTAM Gold odds to be computed.

KTAM Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 3.49

The tendency of KTAM Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  3.49  or more in 90 days
 3.63 90 days 3.49 
about 27.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KTAM Gold to drop to  3.49  or more in 90 days from now is about 27.1 (This KTAM Gold ETF probability density function shows the probability of KTAM Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KTAM Gold ETF price to stay between  3.49  and its current price of 3.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KTAM Gold has a beta of 0.13. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, KTAM Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KTAM Gold ETF will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KTAM Gold ETF has an alpha of 0.0327, implying that it can generate a 0.0327 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   KTAM Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KTAM Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KTAM Gold ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.863.634.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.563.334.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.923.694.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.563.663.77
Details

KTAM Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KTAM Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KTAM Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KTAM Gold ETF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KTAM Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

KTAM Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KTAM Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KTAM Gold ETF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -3.0%
KTAM Gold ETF retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

KTAM Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KTAM Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KTAM Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KTAM Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day654.08k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month349.89k

KTAM Gold Technical Analysis

KTAM Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KTAM Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KTAM Gold ETF. In general, you should focus on analyzing KTAM Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KTAM Gold Predictive Forecast Models

KTAM Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many KTAM Gold's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KTAM Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KTAM Gold ETF

Checking the ongoing alerts about KTAM Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KTAM Gold ETF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -3.0%
KTAM Gold ETF retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in KTAM Etf

KTAM Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether KTAM Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KTAM with respect to the benefits of owning KTAM Gold security.