Gladstone Commercial (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.58
| GLE Stock | EUR 16.07 0.24 1.52% |
Gladstone |
Gladstone Commercial Target Price Odds to finish below 3.58
The tendency of Gladstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 3.58 or more in 90 days |
| 16.07 | 90 days | 3.58 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gladstone Commercial to drop to € 3.58 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Gladstone Commercial probability density function shows the probability of Gladstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gladstone Commercial price to stay between € 3.58 and its current price of €16.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.05 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gladstone Commercial has a beta of 0.96. This usually indicates Gladstone Commercial market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Gladstone Commercial is expected to follow. Additionally Gladstone Commercial has an alpha of 0.1805, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gladstone Commercial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gladstone Commercial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gladstone Commercial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gladstone Commercial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gladstone Commercial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gladstone Commercial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gladstone Commercial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gladstone Commercial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.96 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Gladstone Commercial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gladstone Commercial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gladstone Commercial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gladstone Commercial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Gladstone Commercial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
Gladstone Commercial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gladstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gladstone Commercial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gladstone Commercial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.7 M |
Gladstone Commercial Technical Analysis
Gladstone Commercial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gladstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gladstone Commercial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gladstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gladstone Commercial Predictive Forecast Models
Gladstone Commercial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gladstone Commercial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gladstone Commercial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gladstone Commercial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gladstone Commercial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gladstone Commercial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gladstone Commercial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Gladstone Commercial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Gladstone Stock
When determining whether Gladstone Commercial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Gladstone Commercial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Gladstone Commercial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Gladstone Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Gladstone Commercial Backtesting, Gladstone Commercial Valuation, Gladstone Commercial Correlation, Gladstone Commercial Hype Analysis, Gladstone Commercial Volatility, Gladstone Commercial History as well as Gladstone Commercial Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Gladstone Stock please use our How to Invest in Gladstone Commercial guide.You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.