Glacier Media Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 6.32

GLMFF Stock  USD 0.12  0.04  41.18%   
Glacier Media's future price is the expected price of Glacier Media instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Glacier Media performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Glacier Media Backtesting, Glacier Media Valuation, Glacier Media Correlation, Glacier Media Hype Analysis, Glacier Media Volatility, Glacier Media History as well as Glacier Media Performance.
  
Please specify Glacier Media's target price for which you would like Glacier Media odds to be computed.

Glacier Media Target Price Odds to finish over 6.32

The tendency of Glacier Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 6.32  or more in 90 days
 0.12 90 days 6.32 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Glacier Media to move over $ 6.32  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Glacier Media probability density function shows the probability of Glacier Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Glacier Media price to stay between its current price of $ 0.12  and $ 6.32  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Glacier Media has a beta of -0.1. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Glacier Media are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Glacier Media is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Glacier Media has an alpha of 0.8734, implying that it can generate a 0.87 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Glacier Media Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Glacier Media

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Glacier Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.126.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.096.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.136.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.10.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Glacier Media. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Glacier Media's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Glacier Media's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Glacier Media.

Glacier Media Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Glacier Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Glacier Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Glacier Media, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Glacier Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.87
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Glacier Media Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Glacier Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Glacier Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Glacier Media is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Glacier Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Glacier Media appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 164.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 55.06 M.
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Glacier Media Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Glacier Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Glacier Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Glacier Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding132.8 M

Glacier Media Technical Analysis

Glacier Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Glacier Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Glacier Media. In general, you should focus on analyzing Glacier Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Glacier Media Predictive Forecast Models

Glacier Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Glacier Media's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Glacier Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Glacier Media

Checking the ongoing alerts about Glacier Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Glacier Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Glacier Media is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Glacier Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Glacier Media appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 164.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 55.06 M.
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Glacier Pink Sheet

Glacier Media financial ratios help investors to determine whether Glacier Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Glacier with respect to the benefits of owning Glacier Media security.