Siam Global (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.58
| GLOBAL Stock | THB 16.00 0.50 3.23% |
Siam |
Siam Global Target Price Odds to finish below 15.58
The tendency of Siam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 15.58 or more in 90 days |
| 16.00 | 90 days | 15.58 | about 35.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Siam Global to drop to 15.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 35.61 (This Siam Global House probability density function shows the probability of Siam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Siam Global House price to stay between 15.58 and its current price of 16.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Siam Global has a beta of 0.3. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Siam Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Siam Global House will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Siam Global House has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Siam Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Siam Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Siam Global House. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Siam Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Siam Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Siam Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Siam Global House, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Siam Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0014 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Siam Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Siam Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Siam Global House can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Siam Global House has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Siam Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Siam Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Siam Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Siam Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.4 B |
Siam Global Technical Analysis
Siam Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Siam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Siam Global House. In general, you should focus on analyzing Siam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Siam Global Predictive Forecast Models
Siam Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Siam Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Siam Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Siam Global House
Checking the ongoing alerts about Siam Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Siam Global House help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Siam Global House has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Siam Stock
Siam Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Siam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Siam with respect to the benefits of owning Siam Global security.