Galapagos Nv Adr Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.65
| GLPG Stock | USD 28.12 1.22 4.54% |
Galapagos |
Galapagos Target Price Odds to finish below 31.65
The tendency of Galapagos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 31.65 after 90 days |
| 28.12 | 90 days | 31.65 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Galapagos to stay under $ 31.65 after 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Galapagos NV ADR probability density function shows the probability of Galapagos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Galapagos NV ADR price to stay between its current price of $ 28.12 and $ 31.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.28 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Galapagos has a beta of 0.9. This usually indicates Galapagos NV ADR market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Galapagos is expected to follow. Additionally Galapagos NV ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Galapagos Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Galapagos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galapagos NV ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Galapagos Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Galapagos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Galapagos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Galapagos NV ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Galapagos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.90 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Galapagos Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Galapagos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Galapagos NV ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Galapagos NV ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Galapagos NV ADR currently holds about 4.43 B in cash with (405.97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 67.38, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Galapagos NV Stock Surges Amid Strong Industry Performance |
Galapagos Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Galapagos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Galapagos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Galapagos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.7 B |
Galapagos Technical Analysis
Galapagos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Galapagos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Galapagos NV ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Galapagos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Galapagos Predictive Forecast Models
Galapagos' time-series forecasting models is one of many Galapagos' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Galapagos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Galapagos NV ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Galapagos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Galapagos NV ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Galapagos NV ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Galapagos NV ADR currently holds about 4.43 B in cash with (405.97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 67.38, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Galapagos NV Stock Surges Amid Strong Industry Performance |
Check out Galapagos Backtesting, Galapagos Valuation, Galapagos Correlation, Galapagos Hype Analysis, Galapagos Volatility, Galapagos History as well as Galapagos Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Galapagos. If investors know Galapagos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Galapagos listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.748 | Earnings Share (0.96) | Revenue Per Share 0.1977 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.50) | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of Galapagos NV ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Galapagos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Galapagos' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Galapagos' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Galapagos' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Galapagos' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Galapagos' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Galapagos is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Galapagos' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.