Galapagos Nv Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 27.0
| GLPGF Stock | USD 26.26 1.60 6.49% |
Galapagos |
Galapagos Target Price Odds to finish below 27.0
The tendency of Galapagos Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 27.00 after 90 days |
| 26.26 | 90 days | 27.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Galapagos to stay under $ 27.00 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Galapagos NV probability density function shows the probability of Galapagos Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Galapagos NV price to stay between its current price of $ 26.26 and $ 27.00 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Galapagos has a beta of 0.15. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Galapagos average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Galapagos NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Galapagos NV has an alpha of 0.0773, implying that it can generate a 0.0773 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Galapagos Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Galapagos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galapagos NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Galapagos Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Galapagos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Galapagos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Galapagos NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Galapagos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Galapagos Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Galapagos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Galapagos NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 484.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (103.23 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (8.49 M). | |
| Galapagos NV has accumulated about 4.43 B in cash with (503.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 67.38, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Galapagos Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Galapagos Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Galapagos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Galapagos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.6 M |
Galapagos Technical Analysis
Galapagos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Galapagos Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Galapagos NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Galapagos Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Galapagos Predictive Forecast Models
Galapagos' time-series forecasting models is one of many Galapagos' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Galapagos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Galapagos NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Galapagos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Galapagos NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 484.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (103.23 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (8.49 M). | |
| Galapagos NV has accumulated about 4.43 B in cash with (503.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 67.38, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Galapagos Pink Sheet
Galapagos financial ratios help investors to determine whether Galapagos Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Galapagos with respect to the benefits of owning Galapagos security.