GM (Mexico) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 901.23
| GM Stock | MXN 1,142 1.81 0.16% |
GM |
GM Target Price Odds to finish below 901.23
The tendency of GM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 901.23 or more in 90 days |
| 1,142 | 90 days | 901.23 | about 14.98 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GM to drop to 901.23 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.98 (This General Motors probability density function shows the probability of GM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of General Motors price to stay between 901.23 and its current price of 1142.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon GM has a beta of 0.94. This usually indicates General Motors market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, GM is expected to follow. Additionally General Motors has an alpha of 0.164, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GM Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GM
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General Motors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GM Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold General Motors, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.94 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 102.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
GM Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for General Motors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
GM Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B |
GM Technical Analysis
GM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of General Motors. In general, you should focus on analyzing GM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GM Predictive Forecast Models
GM's time-series forecasting models is one of many GM's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about General Motors
Checking the ongoing alerts about GM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for General Motors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for GM Stock Analysis
When running GM's price analysis, check to measure GM's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GM is operating at the current time. Most of GM's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GM's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GM's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GM to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.