Gmo Emerging Country Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 20.42

GMDFX Fund  USD 20.74  0.04  0.19%   
Gmo Emerging's future price is the expected price of Gmo Emerging instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gmo Emerging Country performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gmo Emerging Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Gmo Emerging Correlation, Gmo Emerging Hype Analysis, Gmo Emerging Volatility, Gmo Emerging History as well as Gmo Emerging Performance.
  
Please specify Gmo Emerging's target price for which you would like Gmo Emerging odds to be computed.

Gmo Emerging Target Price Odds to finish below 20.42

The tendency of Gmo Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 20.42  or more in 90 days
 20.74 90 days 20.42 
about 13.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gmo Emerging to drop to $ 20.42  or more in 90 days from now is about 13.9 (This Gmo Emerging Country probability density function shows the probability of Gmo Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gmo Emerging Country price to stay between $ 20.42  and its current price of $20.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.93 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gmo Emerging has a beta of 0.0589. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gmo Emerging average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gmo Emerging Country will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gmo Emerging Country has an alpha of 0.0155, implying that it can generate a 0.0155 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gmo Emerging Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gmo Emerging

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gmo Emerging Country. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.4720.7421.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.4320.7020.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.3320.6020.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.4920.7020.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gmo Emerging. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gmo Emerging's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gmo Emerging's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gmo Emerging Country.

Gmo Emerging Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gmo Emerging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gmo Emerging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gmo Emerging Country, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gmo Emerging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.29

Gmo Emerging Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gmo Emerging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gmo Emerging Country can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 95.98% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Gmo Emerging Technical Analysis

Gmo Emerging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gmo Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gmo Emerging Country. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gmo Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gmo Emerging Predictive Forecast Models

Gmo Emerging's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gmo Emerging's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gmo Emerging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gmo Emerging Country

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gmo Emerging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gmo Emerging Country help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 95.98% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Gmo Mutual Fund

Gmo Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gmo Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gmo with respect to the benefits of owning Gmo Emerging security.
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