Gem Diamonds Limited Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.14
| GMDMF Stock | USD 0.10 0.01 9.09% |
Gem |
Gem Diamonds Target Price Odds to finish over 0.14
The tendency of Gem Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.14 or more in 90 days |
| 0.10 | 90 days | 0.14 | about 29.84 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gem Diamonds to move over $ 0.14 or more in 90 days from now is about 29.84 (This Gem Diamonds Limited probability density function shows the probability of Gem Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gem Diamonds Limited price to stay between its current price of $ 0.10 and $ 0.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.53 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gem Diamonds Limited has a beta of -0.4. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gem Diamonds are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gem Diamonds Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gem Diamonds Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Gem Diamonds Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gem Diamonds
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gem Diamonds Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gem Diamonds Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gem Diamonds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gem Diamonds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gem Diamonds Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gem Diamonds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Gem Diamonds Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gem Diamonds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gem Diamonds Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gem Diamonds Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gem Diamonds Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Gem Diamonds Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Gem Diamonds Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gem Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gem Diamonds' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gem Diamonds' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 140.5 M |
Gem Diamonds Technical Analysis
Gem Diamonds' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gem Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gem Diamonds Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gem Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gem Diamonds Predictive Forecast Models
Gem Diamonds' time-series forecasting models is one of many Gem Diamonds' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gem Diamonds' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gem Diamonds Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gem Diamonds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gem Diamonds Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gem Diamonds Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gem Diamonds Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Gem Diamonds Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Other Information on Investing in Gem Pink Sheet
Gem Diamonds financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gem Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gem with respect to the benefits of owning Gem Diamonds security.