Gremi Media (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 114.42
| GME Stock | 53.00 0.00 0.00% |
Gremi |
Gremi Media Target Price Odds to finish below 114.42
The tendency of Gremi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 114.42 after 90 days |
| 53.00 | 90 days | 114.42 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gremi Media to stay under 114.42 after 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Gremi Media SA probability density function shows the probability of Gremi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gremi Media SA price to stay between its current price of 53.00 and 114.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gremi Media SA has a beta of -0.37. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gremi Media are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gremi Media SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gremi Media SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Gremi Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gremi Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gremi Media SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gremi Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gremi Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gremi Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gremi Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gremi Media SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gremi Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 20.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.34 |
Gremi Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gremi Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gremi Media SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gremi Media SA is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Gremi Media SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Gremi Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gremi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gremi Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gremi Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 3.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.9 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt Total | 2.8 M |
Gremi Media Technical Analysis
Gremi Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gremi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gremi Media SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gremi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gremi Media Predictive Forecast Models
Gremi Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gremi Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gremi Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gremi Media SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gremi Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gremi Media SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gremi Media SA is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Gremi Media SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Gremi Stock Analysis
When running Gremi Media's price analysis, check to measure Gremi Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gremi Media is operating at the current time. Most of Gremi Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gremi Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gremi Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gremi Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.