Geratherm Medical (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.7
| GME Stock | 2.78 0.04 1.46% |
Geratherm |
Geratherm Medical Target Price Odds to finish below 2.7
The tendency of Geratherm Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.70 or more in 90 days |
| 2.78 | 90 days | 2.70 | about 5.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Geratherm Medical to drop to 2.70 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.51 (This Geratherm Medical AG probability density function shows the probability of Geratherm Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Geratherm Medical price to stay between 2.70 and its current price of 2.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Geratherm Medical has a beta of 0.68. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Geratherm Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Geratherm Medical AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Geratherm Medical AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Geratherm Medical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Geratherm Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Geratherm Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Geratherm Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Geratherm Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Geratherm Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Geratherm Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Geratherm Medical AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Geratherm Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.82 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Geratherm Medical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Geratherm Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Geratherm Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Geratherm Medical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Geratherm Medical has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Geratherm Medical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Geratherm Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Geratherm Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Geratherm Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.5 M |
Geratherm Medical Technical Analysis
Geratherm Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Geratherm Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Geratherm Medical AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Geratherm Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Geratherm Medical Predictive Forecast Models
Geratherm Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Geratherm Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Geratherm Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Geratherm Medical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Geratherm Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Geratherm Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Geratherm Medical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Geratherm Medical has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Geratherm Stock Analysis
When running Geratherm Medical's price analysis, check to measure Geratherm Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Geratherm Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Geratherm Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Geratherm Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Geratherm Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Geratherm Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.