Gmo Internet Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 15.19

GMOYF Stock  USD 16.39  0.00  0.00%   
GMO Internet's future price is the expected price of GMO Internet instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GMO Internet performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GMO Internet Backtesting, GMO Internet Valuation, GMO Internet Correlation, GMO Internet Hype Analysis, GMO Internet Volatility, GMO Internet History as well as GMO Internet Performance.
  
Please specify GMO Internet's target price for which you would like GMO Internet odds to be computed.

GMO Internet Target Price Odds to finish below 15.19

The tendency of GMO Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 15.19  or more in 90 days
 16.39 90 days 15.19 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GMO Internet to drop to $ 15.19  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GMO Internet probability density function shows the probability of GMO Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GMO Internet price to stay between $ 15.19  and its current price of $16.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.89 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon GMO Internet has a beta of -0.0497. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GMO Internet are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GMO Internet is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GMO Internet has an alpha of 0.0256, implying that it can generate a 0.0256 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GMO Internet Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GMO Internet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GMO Internet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GMO Internet's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.8416.3917.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.3514.9016.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.5716.1217.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.3916.3916.39
Details

GMO Internet Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GMO Internet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GMO Internet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GMO Internet, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GMO Internet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

GMO Internet Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GMO Internet for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GMO Internet can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GMO Internet has accumulated about 773.8 B in cash with (23.78 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

GMO Internet Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GMO Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GMO Internet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GMO Internet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding109.6 M

GMO Internet Technical Analysis

GMO Internet's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GMO Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GMO Internet. In general, you should focus on analyzing GMO Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GMO Internet Predictive Forecast Models

GMO Internet's time-series forecasting models is one of many GMO Internet's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GMO Internet's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GMO Internet

Checking the ongoing alerts about GMO Internet for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GMO Internet help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GMO Internet has accumulated about 773.8 B in cash with (23.78 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in GMO Pink Sheet

GMO Internet financial ratios help investors to determine whether GMO Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GMO with respect to the benefits of owning GMO Internet security.