Global Net Lease Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 23.42

GNL-PB Preferred Stock  USD 22.00  0.19  0.87%   
Global Net's future price is the expected price of Global Net instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global Net Lease performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global Net Backtesting, Global Net Valuation, Global Net Correlation, Global Net Hype Analysis, Global Net Volatility, Global Net History as well as Global Net Performance.
  
Please specify Global Net's target price for which you would like Global Net odds to be computed.

Global Net Target Price Odds to finish over 23.42

The tendency of Global Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 23.42  or more in 90 days
 22.00 90 days 23.42 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Net to move over $ 23.42  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Global Net Lease probability density function shows the probability of Global Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global Net Lease price to stay between its current price of $ 22.00  and $ 23.42  at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Global Net has a beta of 0.46. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Global Net average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Global Net Lease will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Global Net Lease has an alpha of 0.0525, implying that it can generate a 0.0525 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Global Net Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Net

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Net Lease. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.4521.8123.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.1018.4623.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.7022.0623.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.0121.9922.97
Details

Global Net Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Net is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Net's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Net Lease, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Net within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.0011

Global Net Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Net's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Net's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding89.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments89.7 M

Global Net Technical Analysis

Global Net's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Net Lease. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global Net Predictive Forecast Models

Global Net's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Net's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Net's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Global Net in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Global Net's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Global Net options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Global Preferred Stock

Global Net financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Net security.