Global Net Lease, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.20
| GNL Stock | USD 7.36 0.08 1.10% |
Global |
Global Net Target Price Odds to finish below 6.20
The tendency of Global Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 6.20 or more in 90 days |
| 7.36 | 90 days | 6.20 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Net to drop to $ 6.20 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Global Net Lease, probability density function shows the probability of Global Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global Net Lease, price to stay between $ 6.20 and its current price of $7.36 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.13 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Global Net has a beta of 0.61. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Global Net average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Global Net Lease, will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Global Net Lease, has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Global Net Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Global Net
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Net Lease,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Global Net Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Net is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Net's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Net Lease,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Net within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Global Net Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Net for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Net Lease, can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Global Net Lease, generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Global Net Lease, has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 515.07 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (211.91 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 305.61 M. | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 16th of October 2024 Global Net paid $ 0.275 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Advisors Asset Management Inc. Raises Position in Global Net Lease, Inc. |
Global Net Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Net's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Net's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 142.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 121.6 M |
Global Net Technical Analysis
Global Net's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Net Lease,. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Global Net Predictive Forecast Models
Global Net's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Net's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Net's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Global Net Lease,
Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Net for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Net Lease, help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Global Net Lease, generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Global Net Lease, has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 515.07 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (211.91 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 305.61 M. | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 16th of October 2024 Global Net paid $ 0.275 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Advisors Asset Management Inc. Raises Position in Global Net Lease, Inc. |
Check out Global Net Backtesting, Global Net Valuation, Global Net Correlation, Global Net Hype Analysis, Global Net Volatility, Global Net History as well as Global Net Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global Net. If investors know Global will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Global Net listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.33 | Dividend Share 1.258 | Earnings Share (0.78) | Revenue Per Share 3.524 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.663 |
The market value of Global Net Lease, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Global that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Global Net's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Global Net's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Global Net's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Global Net's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Net's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Net is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Net's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.