Generation Capital (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 71.83
| GNRS Stock | 74.70 1.00 1.36% |
Generation |
Generation Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 71.83
The tendency of Generation Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 71.83 or more in 90 days |
| 74.70 | 90 days | 71.83 | about 90.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Generation Capital to drop to 71.83 or more in 90 days from now is about 90.31 (This Generation Capital probability density function shows the probability of Generation Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Generation Capital price to stay between 71.83 and its current price of 74.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Generation Capital has a beta of -0.17. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Generation Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Generation Capital is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Generation Capital has an alpha of 0.5267, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Generation Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Generation Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Generation Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Generation Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Generation Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Generation Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Generation Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Generation Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Generation Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Generation Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Generation Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Generation Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B |
Generation Capital Technical Analysis
Generation Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Generation Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Generation Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Generation Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Generation Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Generation Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Generation Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Generation Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Generation Capital in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Generation Capital's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Generation Capital options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Generation Stock
Generation Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Generation Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Generation with respect to the benefits of owning Generation Capital security.