GODM Investments (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.58

GODM Stock  ILS 23.50  0.40  1.73%   
GODM Investments' future price is the expected price of GODM Investments instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GODM Investments performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GODM Investments Backtesting, GODM Investments Valuation, GODM Investments Correlation, GODM Investments Hype Analysis, GODM Investments Volatility, GODM Investments History as well as GODM Investments Performance.
  
Please specify GODM Investments' target price for which you would like GODM Investments odds to be computed.

GODM Investments Target Price Odds to finish below 17.58

The tendency of GODM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to S 17.58  or more in 90 days
 23.50 90 days 17.58 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GODM Investments to drop to S 17.58  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GODM Investments probability density function shows the probability of GODM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GODM Investments price to stay between S 17.58  and its current price of S23.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GODM Investments has a beta of -1.12. This usually indicates Additionally GODM Investments has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   GODM Investments Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GODM Investments

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GODM Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.9823.5027.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.5021.0224.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.8323.3526.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.9025.0727.24
Details

GODM Investments Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GODM Investments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GODM Investments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GODM Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GODM Investments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

GODM Investments Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GODM Investments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GODM Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GODM Investments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GODM Investments has high historical volatility and very poor performance
GODM Investments has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (2.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
GODM Investments has accumulated about 992 K in cash with (2.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Roughly 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

GODM Investments Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GODM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GODM Investments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GODM Investments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float22.2 M

GODM Investments Technical Analysis

GODM Investments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GODM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GODM Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing GODM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GODM Investments Predictive Forecast Models

GODM Investments' time-series forecasting models is one of many GODM Investments' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GODM Investments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GODM Investments

Checking the ongoing alerts about GODM Investments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GODM Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GODM Investments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GODM Investments has high historical volatility and very poor performance
GODM Investments has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (2.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
GODM Investments has accumulated about 992 K in cash with (2.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Roughly 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in GODM Stock

GODM Investments financial ratios help investors to determine whether GODM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GODM with respect to the benefits of owning GODM Investments security.