Golden Grail Technology Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.28

GOGY Stock  USD 0.04  0.0008  1.96%   
Golden Grail's future price is the expected price of Golden Grail instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Golden Grail Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Golden Grail Backtesting, Golden Grail Valuation, Golden Grail Correlation, Golden Grail Hype Analysis, Golden Grail Volatility, Golden Grail History as well as Golden Grail Performance.
  
Please specify Golden Grail's target price for which you would like Golden Grail odds to be computed.

Golden Grail Target Price Odds to finish below 0.28

The tendency of Golden Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.28  after 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.28 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Golden Grail to stay under $ 0.28  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Golden Grail Technology probability density function shows the probability of Golden Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Golden Grail Technology price to stay between its current price of $ 0.04  and $ 0.28  at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.22 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Golden Grail Technology has a beta of -3.26. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Golden Grail Technology are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Golden Grail is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Golden Grail Technology has an alpha of 1.4688, implying that it can generate a 1.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Golden Grail Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Golden Grail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Grail Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0415.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0315.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00070.0315.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.040.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Golden Grail. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Golden Grail's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Golden Grail's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Golden Grail Technology.

Golden Grail Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Golden Grail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Golden Grail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Golden Grail Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Golden Grail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Golden Grail Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Golden Grail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Golden Grail Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Golden Grail is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Golden Grail has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Golden Grail appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Golden Grail Technology currently holds 30 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.46, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Golden Grail Technology has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Golden Grail until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Golden Grail's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Golden Grail Technology sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Golden to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Golden Grail's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 82.07 K.
Golden Grail Technology currently holds about 121.16 K in cash with (420.42 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

Golden Grail Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Golden Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Golden Grail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Golden Grail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Short Long Term Debt1.1 M

Golden Grail Technical Analysis

Golden Grail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Golden Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Golden Grail Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Golden Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Golden Grail Predictive Forecast Models

Golden Grail's time-series forecasting models is one of many Golden Grail's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Golden Grail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Golden Grail Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Golden Grail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Golden Grail Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Golden Grail is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Golden Grail has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Golden Grail appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Golden Grail Technology currently holds 30 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.46, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Golden Grail Technology has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Golden Grail until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Golden Grail's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Golden Grail Technology sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Golden to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Golden Grail's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 82.07 K.
Golden Grail Technology currently holds about 121.16 K in cash with (420.42 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

Additional Tools for Golden Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Golden Grail's price analysis, check to measure Golden Grail's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Golden Grail is operating at the current time. Most of Golden Grail's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Golden Grail's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Golden Grail's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Golden Grail to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.