GomSpace Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.51

GOMX Stock  SEK 4.50  0.01  0.22%   
GomSpace Group's future price is the expected price of GomSpace Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GomSpace Group AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GomSpace Group Backtesting, GomSpace Group Valuation, GomSpace Group Correlation, GomSpace Group Hype Analysis, GomSpace Group Volatility, GomSpace Group History as well as GomSpace Group Performance.
  
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GomSpace Group Target Price Odds to finish below 1.51

The tendency of GomSpace Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 1.51  or more in 90 days
 4.50 90 days 1.51 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GomSpace Group to drop to kr 1.51  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GomSpace Group AB probability density function shows the probability of GomSpace Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GomSpace Group AB price to stay between kr 1.51  and its current price of kr4.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GomSpace Group AB has a beta of -0.18. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GomSpace Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GomSpace Group AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GomSpace Group AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   GomSpace Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GomSpace Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GomSpace Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.514.507.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.783.776.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.724.717.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.814.174.53
Details

GomSpace Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GomSpace Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GomSpace Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GomSpace Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GomSpace Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

GomSpace Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GomSpace Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GomSpace Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GomSpace Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 213.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.33 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (51.12 M).

GomSpace Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GomSpace Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GomSpace Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GomSpace Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding52.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments83.5 M

GomSpace Group Technical Analysis

GomSpace Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GomSpace Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GomSpace Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing GomSpace Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GomSpace Group Predictive Forecast Models

GomSpace Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many GomSpace Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GomSpace Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GomSpace Group AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about GomSpace Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GomSpace Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GomSpace Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 213.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.33 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (51.12 M).

Additional Tools for GomSpace Stock Analysis

When running GomSpace Group's price analysis, check to measure GomSpace Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GomSpace Group is operating at the current time. Most of GomSpace Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GomSpace Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GomSpace Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GomSpace Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.