Gulfport Energy Operating Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 146.37
| GPOR Stock | USD 173.38 0.80 0.46% |
Gulfport |
Gulfport Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 146.37
The tendency of Gulfport Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 146.37 or more in 90 days |
| 173.38 | 90 days | 146.37 | about 26.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gulfport Energy to drop to $ 146.37 or more in 90 days from now is about 26.42 (This Gulfport Energy Operating probability density function shows the probability of Gulfport Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gulfport Energy Operating price to stay between $ 146.37 and its current price of $173.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.51 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.49 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Gulfport Energy will likely underperform. Additionally Gulfport Energy Operating has an alpha of 0.1854, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gulfport Energy Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Gulfport Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gulfport Energy Operating. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gulfport Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gulfport Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gulfport Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gulfport Energy Operating, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gulfport Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Gulfport Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gulfport Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gulfport Energy Operating can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gulfport Energy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Gulfport Energy Operating currently holds 681.68 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.83, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Gulfport Energy Operating has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Gulfport Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 100.0% of Gulfport Energy shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 125000 shares by Silver Point Capital L.p. of Gulfport Energy at 177.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Gulfport Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gulfport Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gulfport Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gulfport Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 M |
Gulfport Energy Technical Analysis
Gulfport Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gulfport Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gulfport Energy Operating. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gulfport Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gulfport Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Gulfport Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gulfport Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gulfport Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gulfport Energy Operating
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gulfport Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gulfport Energy Operating help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gulfport Energy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Gulfport Energy Operating currently holds 681.68 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.83, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Gulfport Energy Operating has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Gulfport Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 100.0% of Gulfport Energy shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 125000 shares by Silver Point Capital L.p. of Gulfport Energy at 177.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Gulfport Stock Analysis
When running Gulfport Energy's price analysis, check to measure Gulfport Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gulfport Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Gulfport Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gulfport Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gulfport Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gulfport Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.