Green Plains Partners Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.74
| GPPDelisted Stock | USD 14.16 0.07 0.50% |
Green |
Green Plains Target Price Odds to finish below 12.74
The tendency of Green Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.74 or more in 90 days |
| 14.16 | 90 days | 12.74 | about 40.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Green Plains to drop to $ 12.74 or more in 90 days from now is about 40.23 (This Green Plains Partners probability density function shows the probability of Green Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Green Plains Partners price to stay between $ 12.74 and its current price of $14.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.02 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Green Plains has a beta of 0.3. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Green Plains average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Green Plains Partners will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Green Plains Partners has an alpha of 0.1534, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Green Plains Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Green Plains
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Green Plains Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Green Plains Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Green Plains is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Green Plains' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Green Plains Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Green Plains within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Green Plains Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Green Plains for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Green Plains Partners can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Green Plains is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Green Plains has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Green Plains Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Green Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Green Plains' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Green Plains' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.2 M |
Green Plains Technical Analysis
Green Plains' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Green Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Green Plains Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing Green Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Green Plains Predictive Forecast Models
Green Plains' time-series forecasting models is one of many Green Plains' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Green Plains' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Green Plains Partners
Checking the ongoing alerts about Green Plains for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Green Plains Partners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Green Plains is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Green Plains has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Other Consideration for investing in Green Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Green Plains Partners check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Green Plains' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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