Geoprima Solusi (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 325.76
| GPSO Stock | 356.00 32.00 9.88% |
Geoprima |
Geoprima Solusi Target Price Odds to finish over 325.76
The tendency of Geoprima Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 325.76 in 90 days |
| 356.00 | 90 days | 325.76 | nearly 4.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Geoprima Solusi to stay above 325.76 in 90 days from now is nearly 4.74 (This Geoprima Solusi Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Geoprima Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Geoprima Solusi Tbk price to stay between 325.76 and its current price of 356.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.15 . This usually indicates Geoprima Solusi Tbk market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Geoprima Solusi is expected to follow. Moreover Geoprima Solusi Tbk has an alpha of 1.9538, implying that it can generate a 1.95 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Geoprima Solusi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Geoprima Solusi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Geoprima Solusi Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Geoprima Solusi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Geoprima Solusi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Geoprima Solusi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Geoprima Solusi Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Geoprima Solusi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.95 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 95.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.24 |
Geoprima Solusi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Geoprima Solusi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Geoprima Solusi Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Geoprima Solusi Tbk is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Geoprima Solusi Tbk appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 11.29 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.81 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.63 B. | |
| Geoprima Solusi generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Geoprima Solusi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Geoprima Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Geoprima Solusi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Geoprima Solusi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 666.7 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 14 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B | |
| Shares Float | 481.7 M |
Geoprima Solusi Technical Analysis
Geoprima Solusi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Geoprima Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Geoprima Solusi Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Geoprima Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Geoprima Solusi Predictive Forecast Models
Geoprima Solusi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Geoprima Solusi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Geoprima Solusi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Geoprima Solusi Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Geoprima Solusi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Geoprima Solusi Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Geoprima Solusi Tbk is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Geoprima Solusi Tbk appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 11.29 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.81 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.63 B. | |
| Geoprima Solusi generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Geoprima Stock
Geoprima Solusi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Geoprima Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Geoprima with respect to the benefits of owning Geoprima Solusi security.