Graf Global Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.97
| GRAF Stock | USD 10.05 0.01 0.1% |
Graf |
Graf Global Target Price Odds to finish below 9.97
The tendency of Graf Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.97 or more in 90 days |
| 10.05 | 90 days | 9.97 | about 1.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Graf Global to drop to $ 9.97 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.51 (This Graf Global Corp probability density function shows the probability of Graf Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Graf Global Corp price to stay between $ 9.97 and its current price of $10.05 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.87 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Graf Global has a beta of 0.0011. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Graf Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Graf Global Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Graf Global Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Graf Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Graf Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Graf Global Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Graf Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Graf Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Graf Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Graf Global Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Graf Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0009 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.69 |
Graf Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Graf Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Graf Global Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Graf Global Corp currently holds 156.09 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 53.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Graf Global Corp has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Graf Global's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.15 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Graf Global Corp currently holds about 382.75 K in cash with (1.18 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Graf Global Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Investment Analysis and Advice - Stock Traders Daily |
Graf Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Graf Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Graf Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Graf Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5 M |
Graf Global Technical Analysis
Graf Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Graf Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Graf Global Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Graf Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Graf Global Predictive Forecast Models
Graf Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Graf Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Graf Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Graf Global Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Graf Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Graf Global Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Graf Global Corp currently holds 156.09 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 53.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Graf Global Corp has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Graf Global's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.15 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Graf Global Corp currently holds about 382.75 K in cash with (1.18 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Graf Global Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Investment Analysis and Advice - Stock Traders Daily |
Check out Graf Global Backtesting, Graf Global Valuation, Graf Global Correlation, Graf Global Hype Analysis, Graf Global Volatility, Graf Global History as well as Graf Global Performance. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Trading space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Graf Global. If investors know Graf will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Graf Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Graf Global Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Graf that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Graf Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Graf Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Graf Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Graf Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graf Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graf Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Graf Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.