Green Brick Partners Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 20.12
| GRBK-PA Preferred Stock | 24.24 0.19 0.79% |
Green |
Green Brick Target Price Odds to finish below 20.12
The tendency of Green Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 20.12 or more in 90 days |
| 24.24 | 90 days | 20.12 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Green Brick to drop to 20.12 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Green Brick Partners probability density function shows the probability of Green Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Green Brick Partners price to stay between 20.12 and its current price of 24.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Green Brick Partners has a beta of -0.11. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Green Brick are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Green Brick Partners is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Green Brick Partners has an alpha of 0.0996, implying that it can generate a 0.0996 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Green Brick Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Green Brick
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Green Brick Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Green Brick Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Green Brick is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Green Brick's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Green Brick Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Green Brick within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Green Brick Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Green Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Green Brick's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Green Brick's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 76.6 M |
Green Brick Technical Analysis
Green Brick's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Green Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Green Brick Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing Green Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Green Brick Predictive Forecast Models
Green Brick's time-series forecasting models is one of many Green Brick's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Green Brick's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Green Brick in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Green Brick's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Green Brick options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Green Preferred Stock
Green Brick financial ratios help investors to determine whether Green Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Green with respect to the benefits of owning Green Brick security.