Grace Therapeutics, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.38
| GRCE Stock | 3.28 0.05 1.55% |
Grace |
Grace Therapeutics, Target Price Odds to finish below 2.38
The tendency of Grace Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.38 or more in 90 days |
| 3.28 | 90 days | 2.38 | about 5.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grace Therapeutics, to drop to 2.38 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.95 (This Grace Therapeutics, probability density function shows the probability of Grace Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grace Therapeutics, price to stay between 2.38 and its current price of 3.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.75 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Grace Therapeutics, has a beta of -0.29. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Grace Therapeutics, are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Grace Therapeutics, is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Grace Therapeutics, has an alpha of 0.5339, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Grace Therapeutics, Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Grace Therapeutics,
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grace Therapeutics,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grace Therapeutics,'s price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Grace Therapeutics, Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grace Therapeutics, is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grace Therapeutics,'s value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grace Therapeutics,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grace Therapeutics, within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Grace Therapeutics, Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grace Therapeutics, for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grace Therapeutics, can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Grace Therapeutics, appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Grace Therapeutics, has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Grace Therapeutics, was previously known as Acasti Pharma and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol ACST. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (12.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Grace Therapeutics, generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: GRCE Total Inventories 0.00 Mil - GuruFocus.com |
Grace Therapeutics, Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grace Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grace Therapeutics,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grace Therapeutics,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.4 M |
Grace Therapeutics, Technical Analysis
Grace Therapeutics,'s future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grace Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grace Therapeutics,. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grace Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Grace Therapeutics, Predictive Forecast Models
Grace Therapeutics,'s time-series forecasting models is one of many Grace Therapeutics,'s stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grace Therapeutics,'s historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Grace Therapeutics,
Checking the ongoing alerts about Grace Therapeutics, for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grace Therapeutics, help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Grace Therapeutics, appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Grace Therapeutics, has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Grace Therapeutics, was previously known as Acasti Pharma and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol ACST. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (12.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Grace Therapeutics, generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: GRCE Total Inventories 0.00 Mil - GuruFocus.com |
Check out Grace Therapeutics, Backtesting, Grace Therapeutics, Valuation, Grace Therapeutics, Correlation, Grace Therapeutics, Hype Analysis, Grace Therapeutics, Volatility, Grace Therapeutics, History as well as Grace Therapeutics, Performance. For information on how to trade Grace Stock refer to our How to Trade Grace Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Pharmaceutical Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grace Therapeutics,. If investors know Grace will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grace Therapeutics, listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Grace Therapeutics, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grace that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grace Therapeutics,'s value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grace Therapeutics,'s true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grace Therapeutics,'s market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grace Therapeutics,'s underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grace Therapeutics,'s value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grace Therapeutics, is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grace Therapeutics,'s price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.