Guardforce Ai Co Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0369
| GRDAF Stock | USD 0.04 0 5.59% |
Guardforce |
Guardforce Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0369
The tendency of Guardforce OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.04 after 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.04 | about 68.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guardforce to stay under $ 0.04 after 90 days from now is about 68.85 (This Guardforce AI Co probability density function shows the probability of Guardforce OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guardforce AI price to stay between its current price of $ 0.04 and $ 0.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.87 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guardforce AI Co has a beta of -0.31. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Guardforce are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Guardforce AI Co is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Guardforce AI Co has an alpha of 1.093, implying that it can generate a 1.09 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Guardforce Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Guardforce
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guardforce AI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Guardforce Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guardforce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guardforce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guardforce AI Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guardforce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Guardforce Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guardforce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guardforce AI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guardforce AI is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Guardforce AI has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Guardforce AI appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Guardforce AI has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 37.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.2 M. | |
| Guardforce AI Co has accumulated about 2.33 M in cash with (1.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Guardforce Technical Analysis
Guardforce's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guardforce OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guardforce AI Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guardforce OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guardforce Predictive Forecast Models
Guardforce's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guardforce's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guardforce's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Guardforce AI
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guardforce for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guardforce AI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Guardforce AI is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Guardforce AI has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Guardforce AI appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Guardforce AI has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 37.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.2 M. | |
| Guardforce AI Co has accumulated about 2.33 M in cash with (1.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Guardforce OTC Stock
When determining whether Guardforce AI is a strong investment it is important to analyze Guardforce's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Guardforce's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Guardforce OTC Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Guardforce Backtesting, Guardforce Valuation, Guardforce Correlation, Guardforce Hype Analysis, Guardforce Volatility, Guardforce History as well as Guardforce Performance. Note that the Guardforce AI information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Guardforce's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.