Green Resources (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.10

GREEN Stock  THB 1.10  0.03  2.80%   
Green Resources' future price is the expected price of Green Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Green Resources Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Green Resources Backtesting, Green Resources Valuation, Green Resources Correlation, Green Resources Hype Analysis, Green Resources Volatility, Green Resources History as well as Green Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Green Resources' target price for which you would like Green Resources odds to be computed.

Green Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 1.10

The tendency of Green Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.10 90 days 1.10 
about 36.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Green Resources to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 36.05 (This Green Resources Public probability density function shows the probability of Green Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Green Resources Public has a beta of -0.13. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Green Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Green Resources Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Green Resources Public has an alpha of 0.0842, implying that it can generate a 0.0842 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Green Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Green Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Green Resources Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.10111.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.92110.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.08127.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.021.071.12
Details

Green Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Green Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Green Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Green Resources Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Green Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Green Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Green Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Green Resources Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Green Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Green Resources may become a speculative penny stock
Green Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Green Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Green Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Green Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Green Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding818 M

Green Resources Technical Analysis

Green Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Green Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Green Resources Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Green Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Green Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Green Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Green Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Green Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Green Resources Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Green Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Green Resources Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Green Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Green Resources may become a speculative penny stock
Green Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Green Stock

Green Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Green Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Green with respect to the benefits of owning Green Resources security.