Group Eleven Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.1235

GRLVF Stock  USD 0.13  0.01  7.14%   
Group Eleven's future price is the expected price of Group Eleven instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Group Eleven Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Group Eleven Backtesting, Group Eleven Valuation, Group Eleven Correlation, Group Eleven Hype Analysis, Group Eleven Volatility, Group Eleven History as well as Group Eleven Performance.
  
Please specify Group Eleven's target price for which you would like Group Eleven odds to be computed.

Group Eleven Target Price Odds to finish over 0.1235

The tendency of Group Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.12  in 90 days
 0.13 90 days 0.12 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Group Eleven to stay above $ 0.12  in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Group Eleven Resources probability density function shows the probability of Group Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Group Eleven Resources price to stay between $ 0.12  and its current price of $0.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.8 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Group Eleven Resources has a beta of -0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Group Eleven are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Group Eleven Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Group Eleven Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Group Eleven Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Group Eleven

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Group Eleven Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Group Eleven's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.136.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.126.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.136.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.120.130.14
Details

Group Eleven Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Group Eleven is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Group Eleven's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Group Eleven Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Group Eleven within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Group Eleven Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Group Eleven for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Group Eleven Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Group Eleven generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Group Eleven has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Group Eleven has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Group Eleven has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Group Eleven Resources has accumulated about 2.63 M in cash with (2.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Group Eleven Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Group Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Group Eleven's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Group Eleven's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding137.5 M

Group Eleven Technical Analysis

Group Eleven's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Group Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Group Eleven Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Group Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Group Eleven Predictive Forecast Models

Group Eleven's time-series forecasting models is one of many Group Eleven's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Group Eleven's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Group Eleven Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Group Eleven for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Group Eleven Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Group Eleven generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Group Eleven has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Group Eleven has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Group Eleven has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Group Eleven Resources has accumulated about 2.63 M in cash with (2.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Group Pink Sheet

Group Eleven financial ratios help investors to determine whether Group Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Group with respect to the benefits of owning Group Eleven security.