General Mills (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 59.62
| GRM Stock | 62.13 1.23 2.02% |
General |
General Mills Target Price Odds to finish below 59.62
The tendency of General Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 59.62 or more in 90 days |
| 62.13 | 90 days | 59.62 | about 1.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of General Mills to drop to 59.62 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.67 (This General Mills probability density function shows the probability of General Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of General Mills price to stay between 59.62 and its current price of 62.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon General Mills has a beta of 0.0556. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, General Mills average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding General Mills will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally General Mills has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. General Mills Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for General Mills
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General Mills. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of General Mills' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
General Mills Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. General Mills is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the General Mills' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold General Mills, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of General Mills within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
General Mills Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of General Mills for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for General Mills can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| General Mills generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
General Mills Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of General Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential General Mills' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General Mills' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 612.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 819.2 M |
General Mills Technical Analysis
General Mills' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. General Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of General Mills. In general, you should focus on analyzing General Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
General Mills Predictive Forecast Models
General Mills' time-series forecasting models is one of many General Mills' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary General Mills' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about General Mills
Checking the ongoing alerts about General Mills for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for General Mills help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| General Mills generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for General Stock Analysis
When running General Mills' price analysis, check to measure General Mills' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy General Mills is operating at the current time. Most of General Mills' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of General Mills' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move General Mills' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of General Mills to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.