Ipath Series B Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 27.1
GRN Etf | USD 27.45 0.45 1.61% |
IPath |
IPath Series Target Price Odds to finish below 27.1
The tendency of IPath Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 27.10 or more in 90 days |
27.45 | 90 days | 27.10 | about 81.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IPath Series to drop to $ 27.10 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.73 (This iPath Series B probability density function shows the probability of IPath Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of iPath Series B price to stay between $ 27.10 and its current price of $27.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.55 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon iPath Series B has a beta of -0.0406. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding IPath Series are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, iPath Series B is likely to outperform the market. Additionally IPath Series B has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. IPath Series Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for IPath Series
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iPath Series B. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IPath Series Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IPath Series is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IPath Series' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold iPath Series B, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IPath Series within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
IPath Series Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IPath Series for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for iPath Series B can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.iPath Series B generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
iPath Series B retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
IPath Series Technical Analysis
IPath Series' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IPath Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of iPath Series B. In general, you should focus on analyzing IPath Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IPath Series Predictive Forecast Models
IPath Series' time-series forecasting models is one of many IPath Series' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IPath Series' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about iPath Series B
Checking the ongoing alerts about IPath Series for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for iPath Series B help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
iPath Series B generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
iPath Series B retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Check out IPath Series Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IPath Series Correlation, IPath Series Hype Analysis, IPath Series Volatility, IPath Series History as well as IPath Series Performance. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
The market value of iPath Series B is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IPath that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IPath Series' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IPath Series' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IPath Series' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IPath Series' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IPath Series' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IPath Series is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IPath Series' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.