Garanti Yatirim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.88
| GRNYO Stock | TRY 9.70 0.19 2.00% |
Garanti |
Garanti Yatirim Target Price Odds to finish over 11.88
The tendency of Garanti Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 11.88 or more in 90 days |
| 9.70 | 90 days | 11.88 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Garanti Yatirim to move over 11.88 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Garanti Yatirim Ortakligi probability density function shows the probability of Garanti Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Garanti Yatirim Ortakligi price to stay between its current price of 9.70 and 11.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Garanti Yatirim has a beta of 0.31. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Garanti Yatirim average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Garanti Yatirim Ortakligi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Garanti Yatirim Ortakligi has an alpha of 0.1417, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Garanti Yatirim Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Garanti Yatirim
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Garanti Yatirim Ortakligi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Garanti Yatirim Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Garanti Yatirim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Garanti Yatirim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Garanti Yatirim Ortakligi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Garanti Yatirim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Garanti Yatirim Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Garanti Yatirim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Garanti Yatirim Ortakligi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Garanti Yatirim Ortakligi has accumulated about 41.65 M in cash with (39.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.11. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Garanti Yatirim Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Garanti Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Garanti Yatirim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Garanti Yatirim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 400 K |
Garanti Yatirim Technical Analysis
Garanti Yatirim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Garanti Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Garanti Yatirim Ortakligi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Garanti Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Garanti Yatirim Predictive Forecast Models
Garanti Yatirim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Garanti Yatirim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Garanti Yatirim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Garanti Yatirim Ortakligi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Garanti Yatirim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Garanti Yatirim Ortakligi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Garanti Yatirim Ortakligi has accumulated about 41.65 M in cash with (39.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.11. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Garanti Stock
Garanti Yatirim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Garanti Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Garanti with respect to the benefits of owning Garanti Yatirim security.