Grom Social Enterprises Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.50

GROMDelisted Stock  USD 0.05  0  2.22%   
Grom Social's future price is the expected price of Grom Social instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Grom Social Enterprises performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
  
Please specify Grom Social's target price for which you would like Grom Social odds to be computed.

Grom Social Target Price Odds to finish over 0.50

The tendency of Grom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 0.50  or more in 90 days
 0.05 90 days 0.50 
about 17.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grom Social to move over $ 0.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 17.66 (This Grom Social Enterprises probability density function shows the probability of Grom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grom Social Enterprises price to stay between its current price of $ 0.05  and $ 0.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.3 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Grom Social has a beta of 0.0597. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Grom Social average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Grom Social Enterprises will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Grom Social Enterprises has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Grom Social Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Grom Social

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grom Social Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.050.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.040.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.010.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.270.51
Details

Grom Social Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grom Social is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grom Social's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grom Social Enterprises, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grom Social within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-2.91
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Grom Social Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grom Social for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grom Social Enterprises can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grom Social is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Grom Social has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Grom Social has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.76 M.
Grom Social Enterprises currently holds about 4.17 M in cash with (8.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Grom Social Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grom Social's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grom Social's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding854.2 K
Cash And Short Term Investments2.5 M

Grom Social Technical Analysis

Grom Social's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grom Social Enterprises. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Grom Social Predictive Forecast Models

Grom Social's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grom Social's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grom Social's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Grom Social Enterprises

Checking the ongoing alerts about Grom Social for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grom Social Enterprises help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grom Social is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Grom Social has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Grom Social has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.76 M.
Grom Social Enterprises currently holds about 4.17 M in cash with (8.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

Other Consideration for investing in Grom Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Grom Social Enterprises check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Grom Social's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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