Greencoat Renewables (Ireland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.12

GRP Stock  EUR 0.85  0.01  1.16%   
Greencoat Renewables' future price is the expected price of Greencoat Renewables instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Greencoat Renewables PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Greencoat Renewables Backtesting, Greencoat Renewables Valuation, Greencoat Renewables Correlation, Greencoat Renewables Hype Analysis, Greencoat Renewables Volatility, Greencoat Renewables History as well as Greencoat Renewables Performance.
  
Please specify Greencoat Renewables' target price for which you would like Greencoat Renewables odds to be computed.

Greencoat Renewables Target Price Odds to finish over 2.12

The tendency of Greencoat Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 2.12  or more in 90 days
 0.85 90 days 2.12 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Greencoat Renewables to move over € 2.12  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Greencoat Renewables PLC probability density function shows the probability of Greencoat Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Greencoat Renewables PLC price to stay between its current price of € 0.85  and € 2.12  at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Greencoat Renewables has a beta of 0.31. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Greencoat Renewables average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Greencoat Renewables PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Greencoat Renewables PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Greencoat Renewables Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Greencoat Renewables

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Greencoat Renewables PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.852.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.731.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.902.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.800.830.86
Details

Greencoat Renewables Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Greencoat Renewables is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Greencoat Renewables' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Greencoat Renewables PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Greencoat Renewables within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Greencoat Renewables Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Greencoat Renewables for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Greencoat Renewables PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Greencoat Renewables generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Greencoat Renewables has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Greencoat Renewables has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Greencoat Renewables Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Greencoat Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Greencoat Renewables' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greencoat Renewables' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding767.3 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Greencoat Renewables Technical Analysis

Greencoat Renewables' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Greencoat Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Greencoat Renewables PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Greencoat Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Greencoat Renewables Predictive Forecast Models

Greencoat Renewables' time-series forecasting models is one of many Greencoat Renewables' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Greencoat Renewables' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Greencoat Renewables PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Greencoat Renewables for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Greencoat Renewables PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Greencoat Renewables generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Greencoat Renewables has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Greencoat Renewables has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Tools for Greencoat Stock Analysis

When running Greencoat Renewables' price analysis, check to measure Greencoat Renewables' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greencoat Renewables is operating at the current time. Most of Greencoat Renewables' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greencoat Renewables' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greencoat Renewables' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greencoat Renewables to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.