Geely Automobile (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.59
| GRU Stock | EUR 1.61 0.03 1.83% |
Geely |
Geely Automobile Target Price Odds to finish over 5.59
The tendency of Geely Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 5.59 or more in 90 days |
| 1.61 | 90 days | 5.59 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Geely Automobile to move over € 5.59 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Geely Automobile Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Geely Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Geely Automobile Holdings price to stay between its current price of € 1.61 and € 5.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.19 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Geely Automobile Holdings has a beta of -0.62. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Geely Automobile are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Geely Automobile Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Geely Automobile Holdings has an alpha of 1.0131, implying that it can generate a 1.01 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Geely Automobile Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Geely Automobile
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Geely Automobile Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Geely Automobile Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Geely Automobile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Geely Automobile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Geely Automobile Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Geely Automobile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.22 |
Geely Automobile Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Geely Automobile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Geely Automobile Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Geely Automobile may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Geely Automobile appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Geely Automobile Holdings has accumulated 1.9 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 7.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Geely Automobile Holdings has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Geely Automobile until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Geely Automobile's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Geely Automobile Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Geely to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Geely Automobile's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 43.0% of Geely Automobile shares are held by company insiders |
Geely Automobile Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Geely Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Geely Automobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Geely Automobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10 B |
Geely Automobile Technical Analysis
Geely Automobile's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Geely Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Geely Automobile Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Geely Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Geely Automobile Predictive Forecast Models
Geely Automobile's time-series forecasting models is one of many Geely Automobile's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Geely Automobile's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Geely Automobile Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Geely Automobile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Geely Automobile Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Geely Automobile may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Geely Automobile appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Geely Automobile Holdings has accumulated 1.9 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 7.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Geely Automobile Holdings has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Geely Automobile until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Geely Automobile's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Geely Automobile Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Geely to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Geely Automobile's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 43.0% of Geely Automobile shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Geely Stock
Geely Automobile financial ratios help investors to determine whether Geely Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Geely with respect to the benefits of owning Geely Automobile security.