Greenvale Energy (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.023
| GRV Stock | 0.03 0 3.03% |
Greenvale |
Greenvale Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.023
The tendency of Greenvale Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.02 or more in 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.02 | about 18.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Greenvale Energy to drop to 0.02 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.35 (This Greenvale Energy probability density function shows the probability of Greenvale Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Greenvale Energy price to stay between 0.02 and its current price of 0.032 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Greenvale Energy has a beta of 0.78. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Greenvale Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Greenvale Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Greenvale Energy has an alpha of 0.3105, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Greenvale Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Greenvale Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Greenvale Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Greenvale Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Greenvale Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Greenvale Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Greenvale Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Greenvale Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Greenvale Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Greenvale Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Greenvale Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Greenvale Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Greenvale Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Greenvale Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Greenvale Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 25.24 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25.24 K. | |
| Greenvale Energy generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Greenvale adds fourth uranium project to growing NT portfolio - Stockhead |
Greenvale Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Greenvale Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Greenvale Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greenvale Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 438.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 M |
Greenvale Energy Technical Analysis
Greenvale Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Greenvale Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Greenvale Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Greenvale Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Greenvale Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Greenvale Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Greenvale Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Greenvale Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Greenvale Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Greenvale Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Greenvale Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Greenvale Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Greenvale Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Greenvale Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Greenvale Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 25.24 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25.24 K. | |
| Greenvale Energy generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Greenvale adds fourth uranium project to growing NT portfolio - Stockhead |
Additional Tools for Greenvale Stock Analysis
When running Greenvale Energy's price analysis, check to measure Greenvale Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greenvale Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Greenvale Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greenvale Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greenvale Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greenvale Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.